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MonthlySSESSMENTS: March China PP Prices

Author: SSESSMENTS

  • Local PP Homo Raffia offers reached CNY5,000/ton-level ($704/ton) at the end of the month
  • PP market was slow in March due to several factors
  • Import and local PP offers are expected to decrease further

Local PP prices in China were mostly on a downtrend during March, except for the first week of the month. At the beginning of the first week, offers for local PP Homo Raffia captured increased between CNY150-300/ton ($21-42/ton) compared to offers in the last week of February. In the following weeks, PP prices continued to decrease. Traders even made downward adjustments on a daily basis. By comparing price lists issued in the first week and the last week of the month by a local trader, SSESSMENTS.COM noted that the cumulative decreases on PP Homo Raffia were CNY450-700/ton ($63-99/ton). However, the decreases were much more significant when SSESSMENTS.COM compared the lowest PP Homo Raffia offers in the first week and the last week of the month. The gap was CNY1,250/ton ($176/ton) as in the last week, offers for PP Homo Raffia in the domestic China market were available at CNY5,750/ton ($810/ton) on cash, EXW China basis and including 13% VAT. For PP Random Copolymer Injection, the cumulative decreases were CNY850/ton ($120/ton). Factors causing the downtrend were the drops in crude oil and futures prices. In March, May 2020 PP future prices in Dalian Commodity Exchange have dropped by CNY957/ton ($135/ton). Domestic demand for PP that had not been fully recovered from the Coronavirus outbreak also further dragged down PP prices.

Unlike local prices, the downturn in import PP offers was clearly seen in the second half of the month while in the first half, offers from the Middle East and India were stable in a weekly comparison. Meanwhile, on a monthly comparison, offers for PP Homo Raffia from South Korea surfaced with reductions between $50-70/ton in the first week. In the second week, a South Korean PP producer withdrew offers due to the explosion at the producer’s crackers. In the week commencing March 16, market players reported to SSESSMENTS.COM that offers for cargoes of Middle East and India origins were scarce. In the week commencing March 23, offers and deals at $700/ton-level started to surface. An Indian petrochemical producer slashed offers by $40/ton to $780/ton on LC at sight, CIF China main port basis. Deals for PP Homo Raffia from the leading Indonesian polyolefins producer were concluded at $760/ton with the same payment and delivery term, $40/ton lower than the initial offer level. Offers for PP Homo Raffia from Vietnam also decreased by $40/ton in this particular week. On March 31, deals for PP Homo Raffia cargoes from India were already at $700/ton on LC at sight, CIF China main port basis.

Although the Coronavirus outbreak in China has been curbed, the PP market was still slow in March as buying sentiment affected by the Coronavirus outbreak in other countries that led to slow end-product sales. Hence, some downstream manufacturers kept operating rates at a low level. Besides, after crude oil prices dropped by more than 30% in a day on March 9, most buyers halted procurement activities or only purchased on a need basis and monitored the market as prices were expected to move lower. On the supply side, SSESSMENTS.COM was informed that the availability of local materials was abundant.

Entering April, market players predicted that PP Homo Raffia prices will continue to decrease as signs of improvements in demand could not be seen yet. A high inventory level in the local market also puts more pressure on prices, hence, a rebound in local offers will be difficult to occur. Meanwhile, import offers to China will head to $600/ton as competition between foreign suppliers becomes fiercer, SSESSMENTS.COM was told.

Range of local PP offers between March 2 to March 6 on cash, EXW China basis (including 13% VAT in CNY term, excluding VAT in USD term)

OriginProductTransaction TypeOffers (CNY/ton)Equivalent in USD/ton
ChinaPP Homo InjectionOffer Given7,100-7,400885-923
ChinaPP Homo InjectionPrice List7,150-7,500892-935
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given7,000-7,300873-910
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaSold7,050879
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaPrice List7,050-7,500879-935
ChinaPP Block CopolymerOffer Given7,700-7,800960-973
ChinaPP Random Copolymer InjectionPrice List8,700-9,1001,085-1,135

Range of import PP offers between March 2 to March 6 on LC at sight, CIF China Main Port basis

OriginProductTransaction TypeOffers (USD/ton)
Far East AsiaPP Block CopolymerSold900-930
Far East AsiaPP Block CopolymerOffer Given980
Southeast AsiaPP Block CopolymerOffer Received1,050-1,075
Southeast AsiaPP Block CopolymerBid Given1,000
Far East AsiaPP Homo InjectionOffer Received930-950
Far East AsiaPP Homo InjectionOffer Given950-960
Indian SubcontinentPP Homo InjectionOffer Given870-880
Indian SubcontinentPP Homo InjectionSold870-880
Indian SubcontinentPP Homo InjectionOffer Received870
Middle EastPP Homo InjectionOffer Received860-870
Middle EastPP Homo InjectionSold860-870
Far East AsiaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given950-960
Far East AsiaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Received930-950
Far East AsiaPP Homo RaffiaSold870-900
Indian SubcontinentPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given870-880
Indian SubcontinentPP Homo RaffiaOffer Received870
Middle EastPP Homo RaffiaOffer Received840
Middle EastPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given840-880
Middle EastPP Homo RaffiaSold840
Southeast AsiaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Received995
Far East AsiaPP Random Copolymer InjectionOffer Given1,050
Southeast AsiaPP Random Copolymer InjectionOffer Received1,125

Range of local PP offers between March 9 to March 13 on cash, EXW China basis (including 13% VAT in CNY term, excluding VAT in CNY term)

OriginProductTransaction TypeOffers (CNY/ton)Equivalent in USD/ton
ChinaPP Homo InjectionPrice List7,250-7,400904-923
ChinaPP Homo InjectionOffer Given6,900-7,300860-910
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given6,700-7,200836-898
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaPrice List7,150-7,550892-942
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaSold6,900860
ChinaPP Homo Raffia (CTO)Offer Given6,850-6,900854-860
ChinaPP Random Copolymer InjectionPrice List8,650-9,1001,079-1,135

Range of import PP offers between March 9 to March 13 on LC at sight, CIF China Main Port basis

OriginProductTransaction TypeOffers (USD/ton)
Middle EastPP Block CopolymerOffer Received1,030
Middle EastPP Homo InjectionOffer Given870-880
Indian SubcontinentPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given870-880
Indian SubcontinentPP Homo RaffiaBuy Idea840-850
Middle EastPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given850-880
Middle EastPP Homo RaffiaOffer Received840
Southeast AsiaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Received930
Southeast AsiaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given890
Middle EastPP Random Copolymer InjectionOffer Received1,060

Range of local PP offers between March 16 to March 20 on cash, EXW China basis (including 13% VAT in CNY term and excluding VAT in USD term)

OriginProductTransaction TypeOffers (CNY/ton)Equivalent in USD/ton
ChinaPP Block CopolymerOffer Given8,000-8,200998-1,023
ChinaPP Homo InjectionPrice List7,050-7,200879-898
ChinaPP Homo InjectionOffer Given6,800-7,200848-898
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given6,550-7,000817-873
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaPrice List6,600-7,100823-885
ChinaPP Random Copolymer InjectionPrice List8,150-8,6001,016-1,072

Range of import PP offers between March 16 to March 20 on LC at sight, CIF China Main Port basis

OriginProductTransaction TypeOffers (USD/ton)
Far East AsiaPP Block CopolymerOffer Given950
Southeast AsiaPP Block CopolymerOffer Received890
Far East AsiaPP Homo InjectionOffer Given900
Far East AsiaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given900
Middle EastPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given840-850
Southeast AsiaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given880

Range of local PP offers between March 23 to March 27 on cash, EXW China basis (including 13% VAT in CNY term, excluding VAT in USD term)

OriginProductTransaction TypeOffers (CNY/ton)Equivalent in USD/ton
ChinaPP Homo InjectionOffer Given6,600-6,800823-848
ChinaPP Homo InjectionPrice List6,700-7,200836-898
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given6,300-6,800786-848
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaPrice List6,500-7,000811-873
ChinaPP Homo Raffia (CTO)Offer Given6,600823
ChinaPP Random Copolymer InjectionPrice List7,850-8,400979-1,048

Range of import PP offers between March 23 to March 27 on LC at sight, CIF/CFR China Main Port basis

OriginProductTransaction TypeOffers (USD/ton)Delivery Term
Far East AsiaPP Block CopolymerOffer Given880-950CIF
Middle EastPP Block CopolymerOffer Received820CIF
Southeast AsiaPP Block CopolymerOffer Given990CIF
Southeast AsiaPP Block CopolymerOffer Received1,030CIF
Far East AsiaPP Homo InjectionOffer Given860CIF
Southeast AsiaPP Homo InjectionOffer Received840CIF
Far East AsiaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given860-920CIF
Indian SubcontinentPP Homo RaffiaOffer Received780-830CIF
Indian SubcontinentPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given780CIF
Middle EastPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given840-880CIF
Middle EastPP Homo RaffiaOffer Received800-820CIF
Southeast AsiaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given800CIF
Southeast AsiaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Received840CIF
Southeast AsiaPP Homo RaffiaBid Received760CIF
Southeast AsiaPP Homo RaffiaPurchased800CFR
Southeast AsiaPP Homo RaffiaPurchased760-800CIF
Far East AsiaPP Random Copolymer InjectionOffer Given1,010CIF
Middle EastPP Random Copolymer InjectionOffer Received880CIF
Southeast AsiaPP Random Copolymer InjectionOffer Given1,060CIF

Range of local PP offers between March 30 to March 31 on cash, EXW China basis (including 13% VAT in CNY term, excluding VAT in USD term)

OriginProductTransaction TypeOffers (CNY/ton)Equivalent in USD/ton)
ChinaPP Homo FilmOffer Given6,200-6,300773-786
ChinaPP Homo InjectionOffer Given5,800-5,850723-730
ChinaPP Homo InjectionPrice List6,700-7,200836-898
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given5,750-6,200717-773
ChinaPP Homo Raffia (CTO)Offer Given5,900-6,100736-761
ChinaPP Homo RaffiaPrice List6,500-6,800811-848
ChinaPP Random Copolymer InjectionPrice List7,850-8,400979-1,048

Range of import PP offers between March 30 to March 31 on LC at sight, CIF/CFR China Main Port basis

OriginProductTransaction TypeOffers (USD/ton)
Far East AsiaPP Homo InjectionOffer Received800
Middle EastPP Homo InjectionOffer Given710-740
Indian SubcontinentPP Homo RaffiaSold700
Middle EastPP Homo RaffiaOffer Given710-740

Tags: Asia Pacific,China,English,Monthly,NEA,PP

Published on April 3, 2020 2:32 PM (GMT+8)
Last Updated on April 6, 2020 1:40 PM (GMT+8)