Accelerates bioenergy growth
- Acquisition of a leading US renewable natural gas (RNG) producer will accelerate growth of bp’s strategic bioenergy transition growth engine
- Operates 50 RNG and landfill gas-to-energy facilities across US, with development pipeline supporting potential for around five-fold increase in RNG volumes by 2030
- Doubles the EBITDA bp expects from biogas to around $2 billion by 2030; supports increase in bp’s aim for EBITDA from transition growth businesses by 2030 from $9-10 billion to more than $10 billion
Adds distinctive value
- Builds on bp’s existing biogas business – expanding in the US, a key fast-growing geography for biogas
- Expect additional distinctive value through integration with bp’s trading capabilities and global customer relationships
Maintains financial discipline
- $3.3 billion cash acquisition; acquisition multiple of around four times
- Remain committed to disciplined financial frame; five priorities unchanged, including no change to dividend or buyback guidance
- Expected to be accretive to both earnings and free cash flow per share, post integration, and to deliver double-digit returns
Supports net zero ambition
- Biogas growth supports both customer decarbonization goals and bp’s aim to reduce carbon intensity of energy products it sells
According to the company’s website press release on October 17, 2022, in a move that will expand and accelerate the growth of its strategic bioenergy business, bp announced that it has agreed to acquire Archaea Energy Inc., a leading producer of renewable natural gas (RNG) in the US. The agreed acquisition, which is subject to regulatory and Archaea shareholder approval, will be for $3.3 billion in cash, as well as around $800 million of net debt.
Bioenergy is one of five strategic transition growth engines that bp intends to grow rapidly through this decade. bp expects investment into its transition growth businesses to reach more than 40% of its total annual capital expenditure by 2025, aiming to grow this to around 50% by 2030.
Acquiring Archaea will expand bp’s presence in the US biogas industry, enhancing its ability to support customers’ decarbonization goals and also progressing its aim to reduce the average carbon intensity of the energy products it sells. bp aims to reduce that carbon intensity to net zero by 2050 or sooner.
Bernard Looney, bp chief executive, said: “Archaea is a fantastic fast-growing business, and bp will add distinctive value through the company’s trading business and customer reach. It will accelerate the company’s key bioenergy growth engine, creating a real leader in the biogas sector, and support the company’s net zero ambition. And, importantly, bp are doing this while remaining focused on the disciplined execution of the company’s financial frame. Investing with discipline into the energy transition, creating further value through integration – this is exactly what bp’s transformation into an integrated energy company is all about.”
Archaea Energy
Based in Houston, Texas, Archaea Energy is a leading RNG producer, operating 50 RNG and landfill gas-to-energy facilities across the US, producing around 6,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day (boe/d) of RNG. At closing its production would be expected to provide an immediate 50% increase to bp’s biogas supply volumes.
Archaea has a development pipeline of more than 80 projects that underpin the potential for around five-fold growth in RNG production by 2030. Earlier this year, it announced a joint venture with Republic Services, Inc. to develop 40 RNG projects across the US, part of this pipeline. The joint venture will convert landfill gas into pipeline-quality RNG that can be used for a variety of applications to displace conventional natural gas.
Archaea has extensive operational expertise and experience with an industry-leading modular and integrated approach to biogas projects that provides short development lead-times. The business’s innovative and highly experienced management and operations team has a proven track record and will remain with bp on completion.
Nick Stork, CEO of Archaea Energy, said:“Archaea has become one of the largest and fastest growing RNG platforms in the US and announcement will further enable this business to realize its full potential. bp is a world-class partner with an operational history in the RNG value chain that is fully aligned with the company and the company’s partners’, and I look forward to the company’s hard-working team joining the bp organization to help achieve their bioenergy goals.”
Jon Vander Ark, Republic Services president and chief executive officer, said:“The acquisition of Archaea by bp allows us to accelerate decarbonization through the company’s innovative joint venture with Archaea. With the company’s shared focus on sustainability, this joint venture provides additional opportunities to work together on other decarbonization and environmental services initiatives.”
The acquisition of Archaea has a strong strategic fit with bp’s existing biogas business, enabling expansion of its position in the US and potentially also in key geographies globally, including the UK and Germany. Alongside growth in bp’s existing portfolio, the addition of Archaea’s production and pipeline has the potential to take bp’s biogas supply volumes to around 70,000 boe/d globally by 2030.
bp sees the opportunity to deliver additional distinctive value through the integration of the business with bp’s trading capabilities and broad customer base - bp is a leading marketer of natural gas in North America, with many customers looking to decarbonize. Demand for biogas is also diversifying with opportunities for growth into areas such as LNG, renewable hydrogen, and power for EV charging.
Dave Lawler, chairman and president of bp America, said: “The company’s biogas team is already one of the leading suppliers of renewable natural gas in North America. This deal accelerates the company’s ability to deliver cleaner energy, generate significant earnings in a fast-growing sector and help reduce emissions. This could help bp take a significant stride toward the company’s net zero ambition. ”
Accelerates earnings growth, while maintaining discipline
bp has agreed to acquire Archaea for $3.3 billion in cash, or $26 per share, representing a 38% premium to Archaea’s 30-day volume weighted average share price4. Together with around $800 million net debt, the total enterprise value is $4.1 billion. Subject to regulatory approvals and Archaea shareholder approval, bp is targeting acquisition completion by the end of 2022.
Post integration, bp expects the transaction to be accretive to both its earnings per share and free cash flow per share.
The business is expected to deliver rateable earnings growth. From around $140 million, bp is targeting EBITDA5 from the business, when integrated with bp, of more than $500 million in 2025 and is aiming for around $1 billion by 2027, following completion of the development pipeline6. This underpins an acquisition multiple of around four times1. bp’s investment is expected to deliver double digit returns.
As a result of the agreed acquisition, bp has doubled to around $2 billion its aim for the contribution to EBITDA from biogas in 2030. bp now aims for more than $10 billion EBITDA to be generated by its transition growth businesses by 20307 - up from previous guidance of $9-10 billion.
bp remains committed to its disciplined financial frame, with its five priorities unchanged. A resilient dividend remains bp’s first priority with guidance unchanged. bp remains focused on maintaining a strong investment grade credit rating. bp’s medium-term8 capital expenditure guidance is unchanged at $14-16 billion a year. And bp’s commitment to return 60% of full year surplus cash flow9 through share buybacks in 2022, subject to maintaining a strong investment grade credit rating, is unchanged. In setting the buyback, bp’s board will continue to take into account the cumulative level of and outlook for surplus cash flow, including the effect of this transaction.
Renewable natural gas
Global biogas demand is growing rapidly. In bp’s Energy Outlook 2022, biogas grows more than 25-fold from 2019 to 2050 in both the Accelerated and Net Zero scenarios.
Biogas is generated by the decomposition of organic material at landfill sites, anaerobic digesters and other waste facilities. Archaea’s operations process biogas - that would have been flared or vented if it were not captured - to produce pipeline-quality RNG or to generate power.
RNG can be used interchangeably with fossil fuel-based natural gas – including as transport fuel, in power generation and in heating – but, as it is derived from organic waste, its use results in lower lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions. Projects such as Archaea’s also have the potential to be integrated with technology such as carbon capture and storage to further reduce lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions.
Increasing sales of RNG will support bp’s net zero ambition, specifically its aim to reduce to net zero the carbon intensity of energy products it sells by 2050 or sooner. It has set an interim target to reduce this carbon intensity by 5% by 2025 and aims to reduce it by 15-20% by 2030, both against a 2019 baseline.
Cautionary statement
In order to utilize the ‘safe harbor’ provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the ‘PSLRA’) and the general doctrine of cautionary statements, bp is providing the following cautionary statement.
This document contains certain forecasts, projections and forward-looking statements – that is, statements related to future, not past events and circumstances – with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of bp and certain of the plans and objectives of bp with respect to these items. These statements are generally, but not always, identified by the use of words such as ‘will’, ‘expects’, ‘is expected to’, ‘targets’, ‘aims’, ‘should’, ‘may’, ‘objective’, ‘is likely to’, ‘intends’, ‘believes’, ‘anticipates’, ‘plans’, ‘we see’ or similar expressions. In particular, the following, among other statements, are all forward-looking in nature: expectations in relation to completion of the transaction described including the outcome of third party approvals, the expected timing of completion and the amount and timing of the consideration and how it will be funded; plans and expectations relating to growing bp’s transition growth engines through this decade including that investment into bp’s transition growth businesses will reach more than 40% of bp’s total capital expenditure by 2025 and around 50% by 2030; plans and expectations for bp’s capital expenditure over the medium-term to be $14-16 billion; plans and estimates relating to the growth, development and value creation potential of Archaea’s business including expectations to grow earnings; expectations for the completion of Archaea’s projects and development pipeline; expectations to increase production by around five-fold by 2030; plans and expectations in relation to Archaea’s management and operations team; expectations for Archaea’s business when integrated with bp to deliver rateable earnings growth including targeting EBITDA of around $550 million by 2025 and aim for around $1 billion by 2027; expectations that biogas will contribute around $2 billion of EBITDA in 2030 and bp’s aim for transition growth businesses to contribute more than $10 billion EBITDA by 2030; expectations for the investment to deliver double digit returns and statements regarding additional distinctive value creation; plans and expectations relating to bp’s strategy, including bp’s transformation to an integrated energy company; expectations that the transaction will be accretive to earnings and cash flow on a per share basis post integration; expectations and plans regarding Archaea’s joint venture with Republic Services Inc.; expectations that the transaction has the potential to take bp’s biogas supply volumes to around 70 thousand barrels oil equivalent per day globally by 2030; expectations for the transaction to advance bp’s net zero ambition including bp’s Aim 3 to reduce to net zero the carbon intensity of the energy products bp sells by 2050 or sooner; statements relating to demand for renewable natural gas including within scenarios described in the bp Energy Outlook 2022; and plans and expectations regarding bp’s financial frame including plans and expectations for future dividends, plans and expectations regarding bp’s credit rating, including in respect of maintaining a strong investment grade credit rating, plans and expectations for bp’s annual capital expenditure, plans and expectations for bp’s cash balance point, plans and expectations regarding the allocation of surplus cash flow and plans and expectations regarding the amount and timing of share buybacks.
By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will or may occur in the future and are outside the control of bp. Actual results or outcomes, may differ materially from those expressed in such statements, depending on a variety of factors, including the risk factors discussed under “Risk factors” in bp’s Annual Report and Form 20-F 2021 as filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission and in any of our more recent public reports.
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